REVERSALS AND TRENDS

👉 Before 1970, the gold market was tightly controlled by the international monetary system. The foundation was the gold standard — first the classical one (19th to early 20th century), and later the Bretton Woods system (since 1944). 🔺 Gold had a fixed price: $35 per ounce. 🔺 The U.S. dollar was freely convertible into gold for foreign governments and central banks. 🔺 National currencies were pegged to the dollar, and the dollar — to gold. ☝️ Under such conditions, gold wasn’t considered a tradable market asset — its price didn’t rise, and there was no real trading. The main holders of gold were governments and central banks, and in many countries (including the U.S.), private individuals were banned from owning gold bullion. 👉 But the system didn’t hold. The U.S. was printing more money than it could back with gold. In 1971, Richard Nixon announced a “temporary” suspension of dollar convertibility into gold — this gave birth to the floating exchange rate system, and gold bec...

USEFUL STUFF -   Crisis Map 2024-2030 - Long Term Cycles of the US Stock Market -  7-year Crisis Cycle of the US Stock Market -  Medium-Term US Stock Market Cycle -  New 4-year Cycle of the US Stock Market -  50-week Cycle of US Stock Market -  Market Crashes and US Presidents - Long Term Gold Cycles -  The Dollar's Cyclical Axiom -  Bear 2025 in Numbers (2.0) - Extremes and Pivots - The Long Cycle of the Yen -  Dollar-Yen 34-year High - Jupiter and Uranus in Crude Oil Cycles -  Long Crude Oil Cycle -  Crude Oil Astrology (Part 1) -  Crude Oil Astrology (Part 2) - Peak of Market Cycles. The End of Gemini Chaos. - A Few Words about Retro-Mercury -  Retrograde Mercury 2024 - Retrograde Mercury 2025 - Retrograde Venus - Mars in Scorpio - Reset Cycle - Russian Roulette -  Illusions of Gold Bugs - Benner Cycles - In Company with a Demon - End of Taurus Euphoria, Time of Gemini - War Cycle 2023-2025 FORECASTS RESULTS -...

👉 Extreme forecast and pivot forecast are proprietary terms I use in my work to describe time-based projections of potential market reversals. 👉 These forecasts are designed to support swing or position trading – to help open or close trades. The forecasted reversal date is based on astrological data, while confirmation (and actual trade execution) comes from cyclical and technical analysis as the date approaches. ☝️ Not every projected extreme or pivot will play out! It's not known in advance whether the reversal will mark a top or a bottom. For swing and position trading in futures, that’s not critical – what matters is the trend that follows. 👉 An extreme or pivot may hit within a margin of a couple of days. Occasionally, instead of triggering a reversal, the level breaks and confirms continuation. Extreme and pivot forecasts for the stock market and gold are usually synchronized, and may sometimes apply to crude oil as well. ☝️ As the projected date approaches, technic...

📉 S&P500 – Week 14 of the base cycle (average 20 weeks). The cycle is getting mature – increasing the odds of a top. The new all-time highs in S&P and NASDAQ reached on Thursday, July 3 clearly ran into the extreme forecast for July 7. A short position was opened on a technical signal. 🐻 Classic DJIA also ran into the July 7 extreme forecast and started forming a triple top near the levels of the December 9 and January 29 extremes (see weekly chart). The bearish intermarket divergence remains intact. 💰 The long position from the June 23 extreme forecast was closed on July 7 by a trailing stop. The working amplitude of this move in ES futures ranged from $7K to $9K per contract depending on entry method. Congrats to those who rode the move with discipline – a solid trade. ☝️ My long-term expectations, shared in the post on the new 4-year cycle , remain unchanged. A clear breakout of the double top at the December 9 and January 29 levels across all indexes would shift the fore...

💴 USDJPY – I don’t actively trade currencies, but I do keep an eye on the yen. The USDJPY pair on Forex often reacts quite well to extreme forecasts for gold. Back in April 2024, I wrote : "✋ Can’t ignore the surge of the US dollar against the Japanese yen to a 34-year high. The medium-term USDJPY cycle is about 4 years. It’s been 3.5 years since the current cycle began — the peak of a bullish cycle is often reached in the 4th year. ☝️ The base cycle of USDJPY is around 25 weeks. The 18th week of the current base cycle is beginning. The cycle is quite mature, and its top is likely close. There's a good chance of a correction within this time window, with a base forming somewhere around June." 👉 The last medium-term yen cycle (averaging 4 years) started in January 2021 and has now stretched to 4.5 years. This cycle is fully mature. The peak of the base cycle mentioned in April was reached in June 2024 in week 27 of the cycle. The base cycle dragged on for 37 weeks and...

👉 The three crude oil charts display all extreme forecasts for H1 2025, issued by me at the beginning of the year , alongside actual outcomes. Also included are selected extreme forecasts for the stock market that played out well on crude, as well as pivot forecasts mentioned in the weekly summaries. "⚠️ Extreme forecasts for crude in 2025: 3 February, 3 March, 19 March, 28–31 March, 5 May, 19–23 June, 7 July, 11 August, 1 September, 8 September, 23 September, 14 October, 22 October, 11 November, 10 December, 15 December, 22–24 December." Pivot forecasts from weekly posts: 6 January, 17 January, 29 January, 11 February, 24 February, 21 April, 9 June. ⚠️ Key reversals and trends in crude oil during H1 2025: 👉 A strong bullish trend into the lower boundary of the large triangle from the 20 December 2024 extreme forecast to the 17 January pivot forecast. 👉 A prolonged bearish trend from the 17 January pivot to the 5 May extreme. Pivot projections for corrective swings within ...

👉 The three gold charts display all extreme forecasts for H1 2025, issued by me at the beginning of the year , along with actual outcomes. Also included are pivot forecasts referenced in the weekly summaries. "⚠️ Extreme forecasts for gold in 2025 largely correspond to the dates for US stock indices, with minor differences: 13 January, 29 January, 3 March, 7 April, 21 April, 19 May, 16 June, 23 June, 7 July, 14 July, 11 August, 25 August, 8 September, 22 September, 3 November, 10 November, 1 December, 15 December." Pivot forecasts from weekly posts: 6 January, 11 February, 24 February, 19 March, 24 March, 5 May, 9 June. ⚠️ Key reversals and trends in gold during H1 2025: 👉 The extreme forecasts of 18 December 2024 (refined) and 22 April precisely marked the beginning and the top of the 2025 gold mania trend. 👉 The bottom points of two significant corrections within that mania trend aligned exactly with the extreme forecasts of 3 March and 7 April. 👉 The extreme forecasts ...

📉 S&P500 – 13th week of the base cycle (average duration: 20 weeks). The bullish nature of the new 4-year cycle  is fully reflected in the stock market’s dynamics. As of Thursday's close, the S&P and NASDAQ indices reached new all-time highs. We are holding the long position opened on the 23 June extreme forecast. 👉 The current S&P (ES) futures timidly attempted to break the double top at my extreme forecasts of 9 December and 29 January. DJIA has not yet reached the double top (see weekly chart). Thus, Friday’s market close presents us with a bearish intermarket divergence heading into my 7 July extreme forecast. ☝️ My long-term expectations outlined in the post on the new 4-year cycle remain unchanged. A confident breakout of the 9 December / 29 January double top across all indices would shift the likely bearish reversal outlook to February 2026. The period from 7 to 18 July brings strong reversal aspects, which could complicate this bull run and increase volatili...

post from May 2024 with update 🪐 In astrology, Jupiter (♃) symbolizes crude. Uranus (♅) represents sharp and unexpected changes. The conjunction (☌) of Jupiter and Uranus (aspect ♃☌♅) is a rare astrological event that offers some insight into the near-term price dynamics of crude. ☝️ The first dates in the list mark the aspect and turning point. These are shown in blue on the timeline and highlighted on the charts. The second dates indicate the consequences. Crude prices are listed for scale. Allowance of +/- one month. 1️⃣ April 1969 ($28.8) – July 1973 ($25.1), top of the last 4-year bear cycle before the historic surge to $75. 2️⃣ July 1983 ($100) – March 1986 ($29.9), top of the last 4-year bear cycle before the 1986 bottom and prolonged low prices (start of USSR collapse). 3️⃣ December 1996 ($51) – November 1998 ($21.36), top of the 4-year cycle before the 1998 bottom (Russia crisis). 4️⃣ August 2010 ($102.9) – April 2011 ($158.3), base of the first phase of the 4-year cycl...

👉 The three S&P index charts show all extremum forecasts for the first half of 2025 made by me at the beginning of the year , as verified by actual market movements. They also include some gold extremum forecasts that worked for the stock market, and pivot forecasts mentioned in the weekly summaries. "⚠️ Extremum forecasts for U.S. stock indexes in 2025: January 29, February 11, March 3, April 7, April 23, May 19, June 16, June 23, July 7, July 14, August 4, August 11, August 25, September 8, September 22, October 14, November 3, November 10, December 1, December 15." Pivot forecasts from the weekly summaries: January 6, January 13, February 3, February 24, March 10, March 17, March 24, April 14, May 5, June 9. ⚠️ Key trends of H1 2025: 👉 The extremum forecast on January 29 marked a resistance level from which a significant bearish trend of 2025 began, ending with the bottom of the current 4-year cycle. 👉 The extremum forecast on April 7 very likely marked the sta...

👉 Historically, under Democratic administrations, the U.S. Dollar tends to rise into the top of a long-term cycle. Under Republicans, it usually declines into the cycle’s bottom. It’s not a perfect rule, but it gives us something to work with. 👉 This time, the scenario followed the classical script. In September 2022 , under Biden , the Dollar Index formed a hysterical top and shifted into a stable bearish trend right after Trump’s victory . ☝️ The major Dollar cycle lasts around 15 years , give or take a couple. The previous cycle spanned 1992–2008 , roughly 16 years . The current long-term cycle began in 2008 and is now in its 17th year . ⚠️ As you can see, this cycle is very mature . It seems likely that it peaked in September 2022 . Given the extended length, the bottom may be reached soon , followed by a prolonged consolidation phase , similar to the early 1990s and early 2010s . 👉 No detailed target comments for now, but I don’t expect the Dollar to fall below its 2008...