📈 EXTREMES & PIVOTS

👉 Extreme forecast and pivot forecast are proprietary terms I use in my work to describe time-based projections of potential market reversals.

👉 These forecasts are designed to support swing or position trading – to help open or close trades. The forecasted reversal date is based on astrological data, while confirmation (and actual trade execution) comes from cyclical and technical analysis as the date approaches.

☝️ Not every projected extreme or pivot will play out! It's not known in advance whether the reversal will mark a top or a bottom. For swing and position trading in futures, that’s not critical – what matters is the trend that follows.

👉 An extreme or pivot may hit within a margin of a couple of days. Occasionally, instead of triggering a reversal, the level breaks and confirms continuation. Extreme and pivot forecasts for the stock market and gold are usually synchronized, and may sometimes apply to crude oil as well.

☝️ As the projected date approaches, technical analysis always has the final say. An extreme or pivot forecast is valid for trade execution only in overbought/oversold conditions and when a basic technical signal is present on the daily chart. A technical signal aligning with the forecast date is the most favorable condition for entry.

👉 I introduced the term pivot forecast in early 2025. “Pivot” (as in axis, turning point, or joint) is a widely used term in technical analysis (e.g. “pivot points”).

🔺 An extreme forecast typically suggests the formation of a base or top in a base or long-term cycle. These forecasts are generally made at the beginning of the year.
🔸 A pivot forecast indicates a likely correction, consolidation, or continuation within the broader cyclical trend. It’s a secondary-level forecast meant to identify internal phases within the base cycle. Pivot forecasts are usually issued a couple of weeks in advance.

☝️ Sometimes a pivot turns into an extreme – and vice versa.

👉 As an example, I’ve included three gold charts showing all extreme forecasts for H1 2025, published at the beginning of the year, with results. Some extreme forecasts originally made for gold also played out in the stock market. The charts also show pivot forecasts mentioned in the weekly updates. You can also check 1H 2025 results for the stock market and crude oil.

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