👀 WEEKLY SUMMARY 6.10–10.10 / FORECAST

📉 S&P 500 – 11th week of the base cycle (avg. 20 weeks), which started on the 4 Aug. extremum forecast. Last week I wrote:

“The week closed with an indecisive candlestick pattern on the index and a bearish candle on the active futures contract.”
👉 Geocosmic pressure persisted through the week, reflected in the market’s shaky technical setup. The pivot forecast on 6 Oct. stalled the bullish advance, while the 8 Oct. pivot triggered an aggressive bearish reversal on Friday.

👉 Friday’s bear erased the entire cyclical upswing since early September. The current base cycle no longer looks like a confident bull. For it to turn officially bearish, the market must close below the 4 Aug. extremum — still unlikely for now. We may be seeing the end of the first phase of the base cycle, potentially turning on one of the upcoming extremum or pivot forecasts: 14 Oct. or 20 Oct.

☝️ Unfortunately, the 8 Oct. pivot forecast wasn’t mentioned in last week’s post due to human error. This geocosmic aspect strongly played out in both equities and crude oil. A clear short signal appeared at Thursday’s close — technically obvious even without astrological hints.

💰 Strong hands who held the long position from 26 Sep. closed it during the week. The working amplitude of this move in ES futures was about $3K per contract. A short position was opened on the 8 Oct. pivot forecast.

⚠️ The next extremum forecast for U.S. stock indexes falls on Tue, 14 Oct., followed by the next pivot forecast on 17–20 Oct.

🏆 GOLD – 8th week of the base cycle (15–20+ weeks), which started on the 25 Aug. extremum forecast. The Mars-in-Scorpio phenomenon keeps showing remarkable consistency, even though this period began after a significant bullish leg. This geocosmic event, occurring every two years and often correlating with strong gold rallies, is covered in a separate post.

👉 No surprise that the 6 Oct. pivot forecast (historically correlated with gold tops) didn’t affect the current bull run. A more realistic reversal attempt came on the 8 Oct. pivot — too early to call it successful. The Mars-in-Scorpio phase remains active and will end only by 4 Nov., coinciding with the next extremum forecast.

💰 The 8 Oct. pivot forecast wasn’t mentioned in last week’s post due to human error. This aspect played out in stocks and crude oil as well. The short setup on gold remains technically valid, but with such an aggressive bull and specific geocosmic backdrop, short entries require caution. The long position with a loose stop is still open.

⚠️ The nearest pivot forecast for gold falls on 13–14 Oct.; the next extremum forecast — 3–4 Nov.

🛢 CRUDE OIL – 23rd week of the base cycle (28 weeks). The bearish second phase is unfolding as expected. After a mild correction early in the week, crude reversed on the 8 Oct. pivot forecast from the daily MA20, launching a second bearish wave. About five weeks remain before the cycle ends.

☝️ The 8 Oct. pivot forecast wasn’t mentioned in last week’s post due to human error. This geocosmic aspect, linked to Jupiter — the ruler of crude oil — has particular significance as it often correlates with rising supply. A short signal emerged on Thursday’s close — technically evident even without astrological input.

💰 The short position opened from the 26 Sep. reversal candle was closed Monday by a trailing stop. The working amplitude of this move in CL futures was about $3K per contract. Another short was opened on the 8 Oct. pivot forecast.

⚠️ The next extremum forecast for crude oil falls on 14 Oct., followed by another on 22 Oct.

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