👀 WEEKLY SUMMARY 21.4–25.4 / FORECAST

📉 S&P500 – 3rd week of the new base cycle (average 20 weeks), which began at the extreme forecast on April 7 after reaching the projected levels. The extreme forecast of April 22, announced earlier this year and last week, reversed the correction from the pivot forecast on April 14, continuing the bullish trend of the new cycle.

☝️ The long position from the extreme forecast on April 7 technically held, as the price did not leave the range of the bullish candle from April 9. Those who closed with a small profit or at breakeven inside the candle could reopen based on the technical signal from the extreme forecast on April 22, roughly at the same level.

⚠️ A reminder: the main astrological crisis of 2025 according to the crisis map awaits us between June 16–23, with serious aftershocks in July and early August. The next extreme forecast is expected on May 19. Significant pivot forecasts are expected around April 28 and May 5.

🏆 GOLD – 9th week of the base cycle (15–20+ weeks). I have some doubts regarding the exact borders of the previous and current base cycles for gold. It’s possible that I was wrong, as the beginning of March does not look technically like the start of a new cycle – more like the start of phase 2. It’s possible that the current cycle actually started in early January after the fading sideways movement from November 18 to January 6. If so, we could now be at the 17th week of a very mature cycle. I’ll issue an update on the cycles a bit later. In any case, slight inaccuracies in cycle determination do not prevent us from working with extreme forecasts.

⚠️ The extreme forecast on April 22 reversed the bullish trend from the extreme forecast on April 7. The working amplitude of the long position in GC futures exceeded $30K per contract. Congratulations to those who entered and closed successfully. Keep in mind, these forecasts were published at the beginning of the year. The next extreme forecast for gold is expected on May 19. Significant pivot forecasts are expected around April 28 and May 5.

🛢 CRUDE – 21st week of the base cycle (28 weeks). As predicted last week, the pivot forecast of April 21 halted the upward trend of crude at the support-resistance level of 65 in the current futures contract. Technically, crude has stepped down into a new range. No trade recommendations at the moment – I prefer to wait for the next extreme forecast.

⚠️ Interestingly, the timing for the end of the current crude base cycle coincides with the stock market’s extreme period of June 16–23. Extreme forecasts for crude are expected around June 19 and June 23, as promised at the beginning of the year. The next extreme forecast for crude is May 2–5.

Content Hub - Articles Index - Library / Archive

#stockmarket #gold #crudeoil