REVERSALS AND TRENDS

📉 S&P500 – 21st week of the basic cycle (average duration of 20 weeks) or 2nd week of a new cycle. The E-mini futures moved nearly $5K based on the technical signal from the support line formed by the extreme forecasts on October 14 and November 18. The pivot forecast for December 24-26, made two weeks ago, successfully worked out as a correction reversal. By the close on December 26, a strong daily signal to the downside appeared. There are still doubts regarding the cycle, so both scenarios are being considered for now. The next pivot forecast is on January 6. ⚠️ I continue to adhere to the opinion that a healthy correction is timely, considering the maturity of the basic cycle and the convergence of longer cycles. This has been extensively discussed in posts since mid-November. 🏆  GOLD  – 7th week of the basic cycle (15-20+ weeks). It was a trendless holiday week but sufficiently volatile for effective intraday trades. Cycle doubts remain. If this is a new cycle, its...

👉 Three S&P 500 charts illustrate all the extremum forecasts for 2024, which I made at the beginning of the year , compared to actual market movements. ⚠️ Extremum forecasts for US stock indices in 2025: January 29, February 11, March 3, April 7, April 23, May 19, June 16, June 23, July 7, July 14, August 4, August 11, August 25, September 8, September 22, October 14, November 3, November 10, December 1, December 15. 👉 A brief guide to extreme forecasts and the new pivot forecasts is provided here . UPDATE: Stock market forecast results for H1 2025 . Content Hub - Articles Index - Library / Archive #stockmarket

📉 S&P500 - 20th week of the basic cycle (average of 20 weeks) or the 1st week of a new cycle. The market's behavior was highly characteristic of retrograde Jupiter (exaggeration) at the center of Gemini (volatility) amidst a mature cycle influenced by retrograde Mercury and Mars. We see a strong technical signal on S&P and Dow Jones from the support line formed by our extremum forecasts from October 14 and November 18. This is likely the start of a new cycle. The beginning of a new cycle is always bullish. The next extremum forecast was scheduled for December 24–26. Considering a +/-2 day margin and the actual technical signal, it may already have materialized. Be cautious of volatility, as NASDAQ could dip lower. ⚠️ The December 9 extremum forecast worked clearly to complete the S&P basic cycle correction. The signal didn’t immediately trigger movement, likely due to retrograde Mercury's interference, but stops held firm. The working amplitude of the short posit...

📉 S&P500 - 19th week of the basic cycle (average of 20 weeks). The cycle is very mature. The extremum forecast on Monday, December 9, worked predictably for a reversal. Considering the maturity of the basic cycle and the convergence of longer cycles, this signal could trigger a solid correction. I won’t repeat myself—this was discussed extensively in late November and the last review. ⚠️ Retrograde Mercury was again on the side of dedicated market players. We successfully closed the long position from the November 18 extremum forecast with an $8K amplitude per E-mini contract. The trend was fully captured. As of Friday’s close, the market is technically in a bearish state. The next extremum forecast is set for December 24–26. 🏆 GOLD - 5th week of the new basic cycle or the 25th week of the old cycle (15–20+ weeks). As anticipated last week, retrograde Mercury didn’t disappoint with its tricks. A strong three-day trend from Monday to Wednesday was almost nullified by Thursday ...

👉 Retrograde Venus is one of the most powerful geocosmic phenomena with strong market correlations. 👉 Venus governs currencies. Periods of retrogradation often coincide with changes in central bank policies. During this time, trends frequently reverse. 👉 Retrograde Venus is typically not a favorable period for stock prices. Significant reversals are also observed in currency markets, soybeans, and bonds. ☝️ In the stock market, the beginning of retrograde Venus has a high correlation with peaks, while the end of retrogradation aligns with troughs. The retrograde Venus period also shows strong correlations with basic or long-term cycles. ⚠️ In 2025, the retrograde Venus period runs from March 3 to April 14. Interestingly, next year, the midpoint of Venus's retrogradation coincides with Mercury's retrograde period. Content Hub - Articles Index - Library / Archive #venus

📉 S&P500 - 18th week of the basic cycle (average 20 weeks). The amplitude of movement for the position from the extreme forecast on November 18 for the E-mini futures reached $8K. This is an excellent result. In anticipation of the "planned" extreme forecast on Monday, December 9, it’s better to close the position. ⚠️ The extreme forecast for December 9 is significant, involving Neptune and the midpoint of the retrograde Mercury period. Considering the maturity of the basic cycle and the convergence of longer cycles, this signal could trigger a solid correction. More details were provided in the previous review. 🏆 GOLD - 4th week of the new basic cycle or 24th week of the old cycle (15–20+ weeks). It was a sluggish, trendless week. This is unsurprising after such a "shocking" move for the market crowd, driven by retrograde Mercury. ⚠️ The tricks of retrograde Mercury might lead to the formation of a double bottom, the conclusion of the old basic cycle, an...

📉 S&P500 - 17th week of the basic cycle (average 20 weeks). Retrograde Mercury, starting on November 26, made an honest attempt to reverse the trend from the resistance line formed by our Venus signal on November 11. I anticipated a reversal last week, but Mercury lacked the strength, and technically, short positions were not viable. Stop-losses from November 18 remained intact. ☝️ The market still hasn’t closed the "Trump gap" from November 6. This entire formation seems suspended and rather unstable. Again, I remind you that the 4-year cycle and the 50-week cycle are yet to experience a solid correction. A healthy 10% correction hasn’t occurred since fall 2022. Considering the maturity of both long-term and basic cycles, it’s about time. ⚠️ The trigger for a potential correction might be our next "planned" extreme forecast on December 9. This is a very powerful astrological formation, including the midpoint of Mercury retrograde alongside several other str...