REVERSALS AND TRENDS

12/14/2023 - 01/02/2024, mid 12/22/2023 04/01/2024 - 04/25/2024, mid 04/12/2024 08/05/2024 - 08/28/2024, mid 08/19/2024 26.11.2024 - 16.12.2024, mid 06.12.2024 👉 These are the periods of Mercury retrograde in 2024. Anyone who has carefully read previous posts already knows that this information is very important for a trader or investor. ⚠️ Retro Mercury, which many skeptics laugh at, accurately showed the last double top of the US stock market on April 1 and the key reversal in gold on April 12. While the skeptics laughed, we closed long positions in time and opened shorts, whoever wanted. ☝️ Please note that the middle of the next retrograde period falls on our predicted stock market extreme  on August 19th. ❓ Why retro Mercury is important for analyzing markets, especially in a state of crisis, I will explain in the following posts. Also check the  7-year crisis cycle . and retro-Mercury 2025 . Content Hub - Articles Index - Library / Archive #Mercury

📈 S&P500 - 6th week of the base cycle (20 weeks). The extreme of May 17-20 has worked. The DJIA turned around and showed a double top, but ran into strong support. S&P and NASDAQ lingered at extremes above the March level. According to the positions of April 22, it makes sense to tighten the stops. Scenario 1 is in effect with the possibility of a rollback. The next extreme is June 7-10.  🪙 GOLD - 15th week of the basic cycle (15-19 weeks). The extreme of May 17-20 has worked. The cycle is mature in the 3rd phase with a double top. The base of the cycle is formed. The next forecast extremes are June 7-10 (in 2 weeks) and July 1 (in 5 weeks). The reversal will be shown by technical indicators. 🛢 OIL - 24th week of the basic cycle (28 weeks). The cycle is mature. The forecast extreme on May 24 has been met. We have a triple bottom and a daily signal from Friday. U-turn? Don't think. Oil turns heavily, with large tails, so it is better to wait for the weekly signal. The con...

👉 I've been writing a lot about crude oil lately, because now is a very interesting period of formation of the base of a new long oil cycle, which does not happen often. It's interesting to watch events unfold in real time. 👉 The long oil cycle lasts an average of 4 years. The current long cycle began in April 2020 and is now in a very mature stage. The top of the cycle occurred on March 7, 2022 - a historical maximum for oil. This cycle is clearly bullish, as a breakdown of the 2020 level downward is unlikely.  ☝️ Since 1969 there have been 14 such cycles. Of these, there are 50/50 bullish and bearish cycles, with 4 bearish cycles producing strong growth in the first year. Based on the dynamics of the chart, we can assume that the next cycle will also be bullish. In any case, the first year after reaching the base of the cycle can be quite intense growth, which was observed in 11 of 14 cases over 60 years.  👉 Until the bottom point has been reached, it is too early to pred...

♉️ Euphoria in the markets may continue until the first week of June inclusive. The situation may change when the Sun ☉, Venus ♀ and Jupiter ♃ (planets of the market, finance and growth) leave their comfortable Taurus (the sign of finance and bull markets) in late May - early June. ♊️ This entire financial company will simultaneously be in dual and chaotic Gemini. This may introduce some uncertainty in the markets during this period. ♊️ Jupiter (planet of growth) will remain in Gemini (duality) for a year from May 25, 2024 to June 9, 2025. The peculiarity of the sign of Gemini (movement in different directions) will be expressed in this period in sharp reversals of medium-term and basic cycles. ⚠️ The graphs show the closest past periods of Jupiter in Gemini from July 2000 to July 2001 and from June 2012 to June 2013. Interestingly, both times at the time of entry into the sign, Jupiter gave a good bullish trend for 9 and 15 weeks. Although - unlike those cases - now the market is alre...

📈 S&P500 - 5th week of the base cycle (20 weeks). Scenario 2. On aspects of Uranus (♅), all three indices confidently broke through the March level. At the moment, the markets clearly hit the forecast extreme of May 17-20. We are holding positions from April 22. Forecast: the market is in Taurus euphoria ♉️ (a separate post about this), at which the extreme on May 17-20 will most likely be broken (possibly after a rollback). The euphoria may end in early June, but most likely will last until the next extreme on June 7-10. 🪙 GOLD - 14th week of the basic cycle (15-19 weeks). The May 3 low is unlikely to be the start of a new cycle. He was at 11 weeks. I think this is the basis of phase 3. There are 1-6 weeks left until the start of the cycle. So far we have hit the extreme on May 17-20, without breaking through the April top. I continue to assume that the probable extremum on May 17-20 may become the top of the 3rd phase with a subsequent correction. The next forecast extreme on J...

🪐 There are astrological aspects (the position of the planets relative to each other) that are symbols of the collapse of illusions and the depreciation of assets. These aspects accompanied all the world crises from King Pea. Under these aspects, all the tops of the world financial markets have been and will be formed, with subsequent bearish trends and... new investment opportunities. 🪐 We are talking about the hard aspects of the planets Saturn (♄), Jupiter (♃), Uranus (♅) and Neptune (♆). Aspects form negative energies, and energies influence world events and market participants. Aspects are known for years to come. The timeline has a perspective of 2024 - 2030. Blue areas are likely market tops. In 2024, these are April, August and December. ☝️The conjunction of Jupiter and Uranus (a rather neutral aspect) showed with mathematical precision on April 19 the basis of the basic cycle of the stock market (20 weeks). ⚠️ The next really hard aspect of the square of Jupiter and Saturn, ...

🪐 Mundane astrology studies the influence of the zodiac and planets on nations, countries, cities and parts of the world. The entry of a planet into a zodiac sign is called ingression. This is an important point in mundane astrology, especially if the sign includes one of the outer planets Pluto (♇), Neptune (♆) or Uranus (♅). Something unpleasant is bound to happen. 1️⃣ Pluto's revolution around the Sun lasts 248 years. Its orbit is elliptical and therefore the planet spends 12-28 years in each sign. Pluto entered Aquarius on March 23, 2023, but will hang around the Capricorn-Aquarius border until November 19, 2024. ♒️ Aquarius is a symbol of revolution, the desire for freedom and liberation from repression. Pluto is a symbol of transformations, transformations and large mass movements. Pluto also means systemic and structural reforms in societies and governments. Reforms are usually of the “to the ground and then” type. ♒️ The last time Pluto entered Aquarius was from April 3, 1...

📈 S&P500 - 4th week of the base cycle (20 weeks). We're going according to plan. The positions of April 22 are normal. The forecast is the same: two scenarios. Extreme 17-20 May. Options: first phase top (= double top and bearish cycle) or March breakout (= bullish cycle). I am inclined towards a breakthrough, since the extreme is due to the hard aspects of Uranus (♅), which contributes to level breakthroughs. 🪙 GOLD - 13th week of the basic cycle (15-18 weeks). It's too early to start a cycle. The 3rd phase of the cycle is underway. There is strong top resistance and an extremum on May 17-20 ahead. The phase seems weak. Today I assume that the probable extremum on May 17-20 may become the top of the phase. Surprises are possible on hard aspects of Uranus (♅). 🛢 OIL - 22nd week of the basic cycle (28 weeks). We're going according to plan. Bear. I expect the bases of the base and long cycles to converge, which usually results in a powerful bull market in the new base ...

🪐 Jupiter (♃) in astrology means oil. Uranus (♅) denotes sudden and unexpected changes. The conjunction (☌) of Jupiter and Uranus (aspect ♃☌♅) is a rare event in astrology, which allows us to draw some conclusions on the prospects for oil prices in the near future. ☝️ The first dates in the list are the aspect time and the turning point. They are also shown in blue on the timeline and highlighted in the graphs. The second dates are consequences. Oil prices to understand the scale. Tolerance +/- month. 1️⃣ April 1969 ($28.8) - July 1973 ($25.1), top of the last 4-year bearish cycle before the historic rise in price to $75. 2️⃣ July 1983 ($100) - March 1986 ($29.9), the top of the last 4-year bearish cycle before the 1986 bottom and the period of low prices (beginning of the collapse of the USSR). 3️⃣ December 1996 ($51) - November 1998 ($21.36), top of the 4-year cycle before the bottom of 1998 (crisis in Russia). 4️⃣ August 2010 ($102.9) - April 2011 ($158.3), the base of the first ph...

⚠️ Probable periods of extremes (reversals) for oil in 2024: May 24, June 17-20, July 1, August 19, September 3, September 20, October 14, December 9, December 20. ☝️ Conditions for extremes are similar to gold and the stock market . UPDATE: Crude Oil forecast outcome for 2024 . Content Hub - Articles Index - Library / Archive #crudeoil

👉 The extreme occurred on April 29, the day after the forecast. It looks like the top of a basic cycle, such a tail is difficult to break through. I also do not rule out that this could be the top of the medium-term 4-year cycle. ☝️ Most likely, the 3rd bearish phase of the cycle will form in the remaining 6 weeks, since there is strong support at the current closing level of 151.8. Probable level of the bottom point of the base cycle 148. Preliminary forecast of the bottom point of the 4-year cycle 139.

📈 S&P 500 - 3rd week of the base cycle. After the forecast extreme on April 19, a new base cycle began (on average 20 weeks). The beginning of any cycle is always bullish. Opening long positions on April 22 was the most optimal. The forecast with two scenarios is still relevant. 🪙 GOLD - 12th week of the basic cycle. After the forecast extremes on April 12 and April 23, the 3rd phase of the base cycle (15-18 weeks) began, which by all indications is bearish and can last from 3 to 7 weeks. There are 3 weeks left until the next forecast extreme, so the forecast for the 20th of May is still relevant. 🛢 OIL - 21st week of the basic cycle (28 weeks). The forecast is current.

👉 The main medium-term cycle of the US stock market is a 4-year cycle. The historical range of this cycle is from 31 to 68 months. The norm can be considered a range from 36 to 56 months, this is approximately 80% of all 4-year cycles. 👉 The lowest point of the last confirmed 4-year cycle occurred in March 2020. The founding of the 6- and 9-year cycles occurred during the same period. These cycles are phases of an 18-year long-term cycle . These will be discussed later in a separate post. There are four to five 4-year cycles in an 18-year cycle. The current cycle is the fourth in a long-term 18-year cycle. 👉 Taking into account the time structure of the previous cycle, the low point of the current 4-year cycle can be reached in 2024, no later than the beginning of 2025. The minimum market level to date occurred in October 2022, which became the basis of the 1st phase of the cycle. This year, new highs were reached for the 2nd phase in particular and the 4-year cycle in general. ☝️ T...