👀 WEEKLY SUMMARY 22.9–26.9 / FORECAST

📉 S&P 500 – 9th week of the base cycle (avg. 20 weeks), which started on the 4 Aug. extremum forecast. The market reversed right on the 22 Sep. extremum forecast in the context of the Saros cycle (see last week’s post + separate note). The impulse carried down to the daily MA20. Friday closed on a bullish note, but geocosmic pressure remains.

👉 After a sequence of powerful geocosmic signals, markets now enter a 2-week pause. Solar-lunar activity will stay in play, but the focus shifts to the aftermath of recent events and announcements. The only exception could be a U.S. government shutdown starting Oct 1, allowing the administration to send civil servants into unpaid leave or even lay them off.

💰 A short position was opened on the 22 Sep. extremum forecast by a technical signal, still alive after Friday without being taken out by the trailing stop. Aggressive traders closing at the daily MA20 target captured about $4K per ES futures contract.

⚠️ Next extremum forecast for U.S. stock indices: Tue, 14 Oct.

🏆 GOLD – 6th week of the base cycle (15–20+ weeks), which began on the 25 Aug. extremum forecast. After another weak attempt to slide into a bearish correction back to the upper edge of the broken triangle, gold spiked higher on the 22 Sep. extremum forecast. The first attempt on the 8 Sep. extremum forecast, as you may recall, ended in a week-long consolidation.

👉 On Tue, gold hit another all-time high, while silver surged to nearly $47 on Fri. That’s classical late-stage long-term (15y) cycle behavior (see separate post): silver outruns gold, and both metals make fresh multi-year highs. At the moment, the golden bull keeps charging on geocosmic steroids under the Saros context (see last week’s and separate posts).

👉 On Fri, 19 Sep., Mars ingressed into Scorpio (see separate post). This happens every two years and strongly correlates with major gold rallies. But in 2025 we see an unusual case: the ingress didn’t happen at a reversal but inside a strong bullish trend, sparking the 19 Sep. correction turn. We’ll see if this aspect has enough energy to sustain the bull. Mars remains in Scorpio until 4 Nov. – basically until the next gold extremum forecast.

💰 On the 22 Sep. extremum forecast, a long position was opened by a 19 Sep. technical signal.

⚠️ Next extremum forecast for gold: 3–4 Nov. Next pivot forecast for gold: 13–14 Oct.

🛢 CRUDE OIL – 21st week of the base cycle (28 weeks). The 23 Sep. extremum forecast reversed crude oil right from the familiar support near 61 on the current futures contract. A powerful forecast aspect, directly tied to crude, capable of impacting global supply. Start of a new base cycle? Too early to tell, but crude closed above all major MAs on both daily and weekly charts.

💰 A long position was opened on the 23 Sep. extremum forecast. A weak bullish signal appeared the day before (Mon close). The 17–18 Sep. bearish technical signal without astro-correlation worked out flat.

⚠️ Next extremum forecast for crude oil: 14 Oct.

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