👀 WEEKLY SUMMARY 23.6–27.6 / FORECAST

📉 S&P 500 – 12th week of the base cycle (average: 20 weeks). The extremum forecast of June 23 triggered an upward reversal. A long position was opened on a technical signal from June 23. The short position based on the pivot forecast of June 9 and extremum forecast of June 16 was stopped out: breakeven in the first case, a small loss of -$2K in the second. That’s just business.

👉 As of Friday’s close, the S&P index broke above the double top at 6100, formed by my extremum forecasts from December 9 and January 29. On the current S&P futures contract (ES), this level has not yet been broken. DJIA also hasn't reached its double top yet (see weekly chart), forming a bearish intermarket divergence. Yesterday, in my post about the new 4-year cycle, I wrote:
"☝️ The markets broke through the 2025 astrological crunch zone (June 16–23) from the crisis map (https://t.me/jointradeview/97). A clear breakout above the double top from December 9 and January 29 across all indices would shift the forecasted bearish reversal to February 2026. That period is marked on the crisis map and represents the final major reversal aspect in the current 7-year crisis cycle."

☝️ However, breaking through that double top will still require effort from the indices. This week marks the end of the "clean field" window — a period without reversal energy, as discussed in previous posts. That very window gave room for this bullish surge and our long from June 23. But from July 7 to 18, we enter a heavy reversal aspect period that could, if not reverse, then certainly complicate this bullish run.

⚠️ Next extremum forecast for the U.S. stock market: July 7.

🏆 GOLD – possibly the 7th week of a new base cycle (15–20+ weeks). Why “possibly”? I’m still not convinced this is a new base cycle. If it is, it looks very bearish. Let’s watch how gold behaves at my next extremum forecasts, once this "clean field" window (no reversal energy) is over.

👉 Next week, we enter a serious reversal aspect period. Let’s see if the lows of May 15 and April 7 hold. For now, we maintain the short position, opened on the June 16 extremum forecast, from the triple top at the level of the April 22 extremum. All these dates were issued earlier this year (https://t.me/jointradeview/293).

⚠️ Next extremum forecast for gold: July 7.

🛢 CRUDE – On Monday, June 23, I watched with amusement as a well-known investment banker fumbled before his flock:
“Iran seems to be escalating, but crude is tanking and the markets aren’t really falling. I think this is just a first reaction. Most likely, crude will go up, and the markets will fall harder. Today everyone is running in circles, not understanding what they’re doing.
Situations like this usually drive oil prices higher. Or maybe it’s some kind of backroom deal. We’ll see.”

👉 Apparently, he didn’t know about my extremum forecast on June 19, when pro traders exited into the panic-driven rally, caused by the 2025 astrological crunch (June 16–23), in line with the crisis map (https://t.me/jointradeview/97). That was the right call. The results are in the post from June 14 (https://t.me/jointradeview/389) — and they’re impressive. The sheep stayed in the pen watching.

👉 Crude is now in the 8th week of a new base cycle (28 weeks). Long positions from the May 5 extremum forecast and June 9 pivot forecast (not closed before June 19) were stopped out on the June 23 extremum forecast via trailing stops.
The working amplitude of this move on CL futures was $16K and $8K per contract, respectively. If you opened positions and diligently managed your stops — congrats, that was a pro-level trade.

❗️ Reminder: crude is under the influence of the Jupiter–Uranus aspect (https://t.me/jointradeview/84). So far, the setup resembles 2010–2014 (https://t.me/jointradeview/140).

⚠️ One more week left in the clean field window (no reversal energy), as discussed in past posts. A short position was opened on the June 23 extremum forecast.
Next extremum forecast for crude: July 7.

Content Hub - Articles Index - Library / Archive

#stockmarket #gold #crudeoil