REVERSALS AND TRENDS

📉 S&P 500 – 12th week of the base cycle (average: 20 weeks). The extremum forecast of June 23 triggered an upward reversal. A long position was opened on a technical signal from June 23 . The short position based on the pivot forecast of June 9 and extremum forecast of June 16 was stopped out: breakeven in the first case, a small loss of -$2K in the second. That’s just business. 👉 As of Friday’s close, the S&P index broke above the double top at 6100 , formed by my extremum forecasts from December 9 and January 29 . On the current S&P futures contract (ES), this level has not yet been broken. DJIA also hasn't reached its double top yet (see weekly chart), forming a bearish intermarket divergence . Yesterday, in my post about the new 4-year cycle, I wrote: "☝️ The markets broke through the 2025 astrological crunch zone (June 16–23) from the crisis map ( https://t.me/jointradeview/97 ). A clear breakout above the double top from December 9 and January 29 a...

👉 According to the forecast from the post Mid-Term Cycle of the U.S. Stock Market  dated May 3, 2024… "Given the time structure of the previous cycle, the bottom of the current 4-year cycle may occur in 2024, or no later than early 2025." …we are now in a new 4-year cycle of the U.S. stock market. Quote from the post on April 13, 2025 : "⚠️ As of Friday’s close, the S&P and DJIA reached the initial target levels of 4900 and 38000 from my forecast . DJIA even touched the second target at 36000. This confirms a 20% correction as expected. We’ve got a weekly chart entry signal. The daily entry signal appeared on April 9. All signs point to the start of a new base cycle and, accordingly, a new 4-year cycle." 👉 The new 4-year cycle began on my April 7 extremum forecast , published in late 2024 . The previous cycle lasted 61 months . While clearly extended, it stayed within the historical range. Reminder: every cycle starts bullish . Typically, a prolonged 4-ye...

☝️ Historical retrospectives show that the longest cycle of the U.S. stock market spans approximately 72 years . In recent history, there have been only three such supercycles . 1️⃣ The first supercycle ended with the Panic of 1857 , which gradually transitioned into the Long Depression of 1873–1879 . 2️⃣ The second supercycle ended with the Great Depression of 1929–1932 . 3️⃣ The third supercycle ended with the Great Recession – the financial crisis of 2007–2008 . 👉 Technically, the third supercycle ended in March 2009 on a hard Saturn–Uranus aspect , whose oppositions and conjunctions have a 100% correlation with long-term U.S. market cycles. We are currently at the beginning of the fourth supercycle . 👉 Each supercycle consists of two long-term cycles of approximately 36 years . These 36-year cycles are further divided into two phases of 18 years . Historically, most 18-year cycles fall in a range from 15 to 21 years . Given that 2024 is the 15th year of the current 1...

Astrology 🔸 7-year crisis cycle 🔸 Jupiter–Uranus aspect in October 2007 🔸 Crisis resolution aspect in January 2009 Cycles 🔸 4-year cycle  in the U.S. stock market from April 2005 to March 2009 🔸 18-year cycle  from 1987 to 2009 (approx. 21 years) 🔸 72-year cycle from 1933 to 2009 (approx. 76 years). Events 🔸 The 2007–2009 mortgage crisis triggered a global financial meltdown. The root cause was the mass issuance of subprime mortgages in the U.S. to borrowers with low creditworthiness. These loans were packaged into securities and sold worldwide. 🔸 As interest rates rose, borrowers began to default en masse, housing prices collapsed, and banks were left with illiquid assets. The collapse of Lehman Brothers in 2008 became the defining symbol of the crisis. 🔸 The financial system went into shock, and markets crashed. The full-scale crisis lasted 18 months, with GDP contracting by 5.1%. 🔸 The 2007 recession is now referred to as the Great Recession. The cris...

📉 S&P 500 – 11th week of the base cycle (average duration: 20 weeks). We’re holding the short position based on the pivot forecast for June 9 , which I gave in my May 24 post . 👉 The astrological crunch of 2025 (June 16–23) began as expected, in line with the crisis map , and continues to pressure the stock market. There are signs of divergence on the S&P and a possible double top on the Dow Jones. All previously stated expectations remain valid. ⚠️ The extremum forecast on June 16 offered another opportunity to open a short position (see chart). The next extremum forecast for the U.S. stock market is on June 23 . After that, two weeks of clear skies without reversal energy. 🏆 GOLD – possibly the 6th week of a new base cycle (15–20+ weeks). The June 16 extremum forecast formed a triple top at the same level as the April 22 extremum forecast . Both forecasts were issued by me at the beginning of the year . A short position was opened on a technical signal. 👉 Th...

Astrology 🔸 7-year crisis cycle . 🔸 Jupiter–Neptune aspect in March 2000. 🔸 Jupiter–Pluto aspects in September 2000 and May 2001. 🔸 Crisis resolution aspect in October 2002. Cycles 🔸 4-year cycle  of the U.S. stock market from September 1998 to October 2002. Events 🔸 The dot-com bubble was a period of soaring internet stock prices in the late 1990s that ended with a market crash in 2001. The hype around the internet boom was the main driver. 🔸 Investors bought dot-com stocks without regard for real value or risk. This euphoria fueled a massive bubble. 🔸 In 2001, the bubble burst and internet stocks crashed sharply. The dot-com collapse had a negative impact on the global economy. 🔸 The September 2001 terrorist attacks poured fuel on the fire. 🔸 The market topped in January 2000 and bottomed in October 2002. DJIA peaked at 11,750 and bottomed at 7,197 — an amplitude of roughly 38%. Summary 🔸 The market crash was expected based on the 7-year crisis cycle. 🔸...

📉 S&P 500 – 10th week of the base cycle (average duration: 20 weeks). The pivot forecast for June 9 , published in my May 24 post , triggered a reversal in the weak bull that once again failed to reach the triple top near 6100 — formed by my extremum forecasts on December 9 and January 29 (see weekly chart). A short position was opened on a technical signal from June 11 . 👉 The astrological crunch of 2025 (June 16–23) kicked off right on schedule, as outlined in the crisis map . It is highly likely we are witnessing a bearish reversal from the top of the 7-year cycle , expected to bottom out in autumn 2028 , aligning with the end of the current 4-year cycle , which began on the April 7 extremum , and the 18-year cycle , which started in 2009. My expectation is a scenario similar to 2001–2002 or 2007–2009 , both crises from previous 7-year cycles. Of course, this won’t unfold in a straight line. Another critical period lies ahead in February 2026 . Consider this my...

Astrology 🔸 7-year crisis cycle 🔸 Saturn–Pluto aspect in January 1994 🔸 Planetary alignment in January 1994 🔸 Crisis resolution aspect in February 1995 Cycles 🔸 4-year U.S. stock market cycle from October 1990 to April 1994 Events 🔸 The 1994 bond crisis is one of the key events in the history of global fixed-income markets. It was a period of sharp interest rate hikes that caused heavy losses for investors. 🔸 In 1994, the Federal Reserve began raising interest rates to curb inflation. This led to rising bond yields and declining bond prices. 🔸 Many investors were caught off guard by the speed and magnitude of the rate increases, triggering panic selling across the bond market. 🔸 The crisis caused substantial damage to pension funds , insurance companies , and other institutional bondholders. 🔸 The stock market was largely unaffected . It peaked in late January 1994 and bottomed in April. DJIA moved from a high of 3985 to a low of 3520 , an amplitude of rou...

📉 S&P500 – 9th week of the base cycle (average 20 weeks). The market sluggishly broke the resistance at the May 19 extreme forecast made at the beginning of the year . Technically, this weak bull once again failed to reach the triple top of the S&P near 6100, formed around my extreme forecasts of Dec 9 and Jan 29 (see weekly chart). 👉 On Monday , Jupiter exits chaotic Gemini. I covered this period and its consequences in detail earlier this week . The astrological turbulence of 2025 , according to the crisis map , is expected between June 16–23 . Another critical period lies ahead in February 2026 . 👉 I expect a development similar to 2001–2002 , although of course not linearly or 100%. In any case, I believe the reversal is already underway , and it will complete by the end of the 7-year cycle in 2028 . Also, note how the chaos in the U.S. intensifies near these turning points. Read more on 7-year crises here  — the pattern is clear and backed by examples. I'l...

☝️ On June 9, 2025 , Jupiter ends its transit through Gemini. I recommend revisiting the post End of Taurus Euphoria, the Time of Gemini  from May 2024. Here are a few quotes for the lazy: "— The nature of the Gemini sign (movement in different directions) will manifest during this period as sharp reversals in medium-term and base cycles. — Interestingly, both times at entry into the sign, Jupiter gave a decent bullish trend lasting 9 and 15 weeks. — Market participants should be prepared for both excessive optimism and overreaction or exaggeration. — Gemini is the perfect embodiment of the idea: the higher the rise, the harder the fall. — Jupiter's chaos in Gemini may benefit Donald Trump in the upcoming U.S. election." 😀 As they say, Q.E.D. — especially “the higher the rise, the harder the fall.” 👉 Just take a look at the chaotic nature of this one-year Jupiter-in-Gemini period from June 2024 to June 2025: 🔸 The working amplitude of the promised bullish tre...