👀 WEEKLY SUMMARY 7.4–11.4 / FORECAST

📉 S&P500 – 13th week of the base cycle (average 20 weeks), which began with the pivot forecast on January 13. It is also possibly the first week of a new base cycle. The market decline stopped and reversed at the extreme forecast on April 7 (see: U.S. Stock Market Extremes 2025).

☝️ The working range of the short position from the extreme forecast on March 24 to the extreme forecast on April 7 in ES futures averaged $30K per contract, with a wide spread due to volatility. Congratulations to those who entered and exited successfully.

⚠️ By Friday’s close, the S&P and DJIA reached the first target levels of 4900 and 38000 from my forecast. DJIA even reached the second target level of 36000. Thus, the correction amounted to the expected 20%. There is a signal to enter on the weekly chart. A daily chart entry signal appeared on April 9. All signs point to the beginning of a new base cycle and therefore a new 4-year cycle. However, the risk of continuation of the old base cycle still remains.

☝️ A long position has been opened, which is quite risky considering the volatility. The next pivot forecast is April 14 — the end of the Venus retrograde period, which was very active this year. I don’t think it will have a negative impact, likely the opposite. A strong extreme forecast is expected on April 22–23. A strong pivot forecast is scheduled for April 25–28.

⚠️ The main astrological turbulence of 2025, according to the crisis map, awaits us from June 16 to 23, with major aftershocks in July and early August.

🏆 GOLD – 7th week of the base cycle (15–20+ weeks), currently in phase 2. Phase 1 ended with a reversal on the extreme forecast of April 7 (see: Gold Extremes 2025, which gave gold a strong bullish impulse. A long position is open. The next pivot forecast is April 14. The next extreme forecast for gold is April 21–22.

🛢 CRUDE – 19th week of the base cycle (28 weeks), phase 2, bearish, short position. Interestingly, the timing of the current crude base cycle’s end coincides with the extreme stock market period of June 16–23. The next pivot forecast for crude is April 21. The next extreme forecast for crude is May 5.

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